Loading…
LA ClippersKobe Sanders
#4 · G · 6-8 · 207 lb · 41 games
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2025 · Rd 2, Pick 50
- College
- Nevada
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- Rookie
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 9.9 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 9.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 55% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)48neutral
Projection vs line55neutral
Consistency28argues against it
Projection
10.9 PTS(×0.92 context)
L5 15.0 · L10 11.4 · med 11.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 7.0 · ceil 12.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
100%over
5 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 57%–100%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2020 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Season41 games
49%over
20 over · 21 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–64%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 33/41 | ||
| 73% | 30/41 | ||
| 56% | 23/41 | ||
| 9.5Current | 49% | 20/41 | |
| 39% | 16/41 | ||
| 22% | 9/41 | ||
| 20% | 8/41 |
Situational splits
Over 9.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home56%10/18Medium
Away43%10/23Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%3/6Low
1 day67%10/15Medium
2 days0%0/5Medium
3+ days50%7/14Low
Last matchup — vs GSW
Apr 12, 2026
10thof 30 in PTS allowed to guards
GSW allows 14.1 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 242 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Kobe Sanders has gone over 9.5 PTS 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 49% across the full season. GSW has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 10th-most PTS of 30 teams (14.1 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 4.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 49%.