
Stats updated: Nov 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Kon Knueppel has gone over 1.5 TOV in 8 of his last 10 decided games (80%), measured against our typical-game line.
Knueppel re-aggravated his left hamstring strain in his season debut Wednesday against Brooklyn. The Hornets haven't yet indicated the sharpshooter is facing a multi-week absence, but they'll likely proceed with caution. Grayson Allen is back in the mix as a high-end fantasy streaming option for as long as Knueppel is out.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 11/14 | ||
| 1.5Current | 64% | 9/14 | |
| 21% | 3/14 | ||
| 0% | 0/14 | ||
| 0% | 0/14 |
Over 1.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
CLE allows 1.5 TOV per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 42 player-games
ToughOver his last 10 games, Kon Knueppel has gone over 1.5 TOV 8 of 10 decided times (80%) — versus 64% across the full season. CLE has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 21st-most TOV of 30 teams (1.5 per game). His game-to-game TOV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 64%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.