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Sacramento KingsMaxime Raynaud
#42 · C · 7-1 · 250 lb · 14 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 14 of these 14 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Oct 10, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2025 · Rd 2, Pick 42
- College
- Stanford
- Country
- France
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 19.5 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutMaxime Raynaud isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Knee Dislocated
- Est. return:
- Nov 10, 2026
Raynaud's absence is expected to extend into mid-November due to a right patellar subluxation. With Dylan Cardwell (calf) set to miss at least one more week, Precious Achiuwa, Jonathan Mogbo and De'Andre Hunter are candidates for increased minutes in the frontcourt.
Verdict
vs 19.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 44% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line44neutral
Consistency38argues against it
Matchup75supports it
Projection
18.9 PTS(×0.97 context)
L5 19.2 · L10 19.2 · med 19.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 12.2 · ceil 25.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2014 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Season14 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 9/14 | ||
| 64% | 9/14 | ||
| 50% | 7/14 | ||
| 19.5Current | 50% | 7/14 | |
| 50% | 7/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 36% | 5/14 |
Situational splits
Over 19.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home63%5/8Low
Away33%2/6Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/2Low
1 day43%3/7Low
2 days100%1/1Low
3+ days100%3/3Low
Next matchup — vs LAL
Nov 5, 2026
11thof 30 in PTS allowed to centers
LAL allows 11.5 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 11 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Maxime Raynaud has gone over 19.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. LAL has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 11th-most PTS of 30 teams (11.5 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 7.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.