
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Mohamed Diawara has gone over 11.5 PRA in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.
The severity of the finger injury is unknown, though it kept Diawara from playing in New York's final three Las Vegas Summer League outings. Over two outings in Las Vegas this summer, he averaged 3.5 points and 5.5 rebounds in 24.7 minutes per tilt.
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 18/25 | ||
| 60% | 15/25 | ||
| 52% | 13/25 | ||
| 11.5Current | 48% | 12/25 | |
| 36% | 9/25 | ||
| 32% | 8/25 | ||
| 28% | 7/25 |
Over 11.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
CHA allows 20.0 PRA per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 170 player-games
ToughOver his last 10 games, Mohamed Diawara has gone over 11.5 PRA 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 48% across the full season. CHA has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 30th-most PRA of 30 teams (20.0 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 4.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 48%.
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Assists hit rates and trends.
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Steals hit rates and trends.
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.