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Brooklyn NetsNoah Clowney
#21 · F-C · 6-10 · 210 lb · 44 games
Stats updated: Apr 3, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2023 · Rd 1, Pick 21
- College
- Alabama
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 14.8 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 14.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 45% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)59neutral
Projection vs line45neutral
Consistency34argues against it
Projection
12.9 PTS(×0.95 context)
L5 13.2 · L10 14.8 · med 16.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 10.0 · ceil 19.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
55%over
11 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%Season44 games
52%over
23 over · 21 under
Medium confidence95% CI 38%–66%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66% | 29/44 | ||
| 57% | 25/44 | ||
| 52% | 23/44 | ||
| 14.5Current | 52% | 23/44 | |
| 48% | 21/44 | ||
| 41% | 18/44 | ||
| 32% | 14/44 |
Situational splits
Over 14.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home65%15/23Medium
Away38%8/21Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)60%3/5Low
1 day55%11/20Medium
2 days33%2/6Low
3+ days58%7/12Low
Last matchup — @ LAL
Mar 27, 2026
16thof 30 in PTS allowed to forwards
LAL allows 13.7 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 171 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Noah Clowney has gone over 14.5 PTS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 52% across the full season. LAL has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 16th-most PTS of 30 teams (13.7 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 52%.