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Miami HeatNorman Powell Points + Rebounds + Assists
Stats updated: Nov 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Norman Powell has gone over 25.5 PRA in 2 of his last 5 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- 2015 · Rd 2, Pick 46
- College
- UCLA
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 12 seasons
Line
Points + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 25.8 PRA · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutNorman Powell isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Shoulder Inflammation
- Est. return:
- Nov 11, 2026
Powell was a late addition to the injury report Sunday morning due to right shoulder inflammation and soreness, and he'll miss his first game of the season. The veteran swingman's next chance to play will come Wednesday against the Spurs. Isaac Okoro will get the starting nod in Powell's stead. Additionally, Buddy Hield and Tre Jones could also see increased minutes.
Verdict
vs 25.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + AssistsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 71% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line71supports it
Consistency66supports it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
23.0 PRA(×0.92 context)
L5 25.8 · L10 25.8 · med 23.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 21.0 · ceil 30.8
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Situational splits
Over 25.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day0%0/1Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days100%1/1Low
Next matchup — @ SAC
Nov 9, 2026
16thof 30 in PRA allowed to guards
SAC allows 18.7 PRA per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 27 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 5 games, Norman Powell has gone over 25.5 PRA 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. SAC has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 16th-most PRA of 30 teams (18.7 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 5.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
4 books @ 25.5 PRA- No-vig fair (over)
- 49.3%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 50.7%
Best Over
Caesars-109
-5.4% EV
Best Under
DraftKings-112
-4.1% EV
Model vs market (over)-20.0%
Our model puts the over at 29.3% vs the market's no-vig 49.3%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (25.5 PRA). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.
More Norman Powell research
Norman Powell — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Powell Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Powell Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Powell 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Powell Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NBA Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.