Phoenix Suns

Royce O'Neale Turnovers

Stats updated: Apr 10, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Royce O'Neale has gone over 1.5 TOV in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Baylor
Country: USA
Experience: 9 seasons

Verdict

vs 1.5 TOVTurnovers

No readFireFactor 7/100· model 63% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)76supports it

Projection vs line63supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

1.0 TOV(×0.93 context)

L5 0.8 · L10 0.9 · med 0.5

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 1.0 · ceil 2.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

30%over

3 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%

Last 2020 games

40%over

8 over · 12 under

Medium confidence95% CI 22%–61%

Season55 games

42%over

23 over · 32 under

Medium confidence95% CI 30%–55%

Alternate lines — Turnovers (TOV)

TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate TOV line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	82%	45/55
1.5Current	42%	23/55
	16%	9/55
	7%	4/55
	2%	1/55

Last 20 games — TOV per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home29%7/24Medium

Away52%16/31Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/5Medium

1 day48%16/33Medium

2 days33%1/3Low

3+ days46%6/13Low

Last matchup — @ ORL

Mar 31, 2026

21stof 30 in TOV allowed to forwards

ORL allows 1.4 TOV per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 154 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Royce O'Neale has gone over 1.5 TOV 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 42% across the full season. ORL has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 21st-most TOV of 30 teams (1.4 per game). His game-to-game TOV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 42%.