
Stats updated: Oct 29, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Scotty Pippen Jr. has gone over 2.5 TOV in 1 of his last 5 decided games (20%), measured against our typical-game line.
It will be a fifth consecutive absence for Pippen, who has been sidelined by back soreness. His next opportunity to play will come Wednesday against Denver. In the meantime, Cam Spencer is in line for more minutes.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 5/5 | ||
| 100% | 5/5 | ||
| 2.5Current | 20% | 1/5 | |
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 0% | 0/5 |
Over 2.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
TOR allows 1.6 TOV per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 42 player-games
NeutralOver his last 5 games, Scotty Pippen Jr. has gone over 2.5 TOV 1 of 5 decided times (20%) — versus 20% across the full season. TOR has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 11th-most TOV of 30 teams (1.6 per game). His game-to-game TOV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 20%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.