Loading…
Memphis GrizzliesZach Edey
#14 · C · 7-3 · 305 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Dec 7, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2024 · Rd 1, Pick 9
- College
- Purdue
- Country
- Canada
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 16.5 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Game-Time DecisionGame-Time DecisionConfirm Zach Edey's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Left Ankle Surgery
The young center has shown encouraging development during his first two seasons and still projects to receive significant frontcourt minutes. However, Memphis now possesses additional depth in the frontcourt, creating some uncertainty regarding lineup combinations. Injuries have limited Edey to 66 regular-season appearances through two years, so his health is a far bigger concern.
Verdict
vs 15.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 5/100· model 51% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral
Projection vs line51neutral
Consistency11argues against it
Projection
16.8 PTS(×1.03 context)
L5 17.4 · L10 16.5 · med 15.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 10.0 · ceil 21.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 106 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 206 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season6 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 15.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 |
Situational splits
Over 15.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/1Low
Away60%3/5Low
Days since last game
1 day67%2/3Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days100%1/1Low
Last matchup — vs LAC
Dec 5, 2025
24thof 30 in PTS allowed to centers
LAC allows 12.5 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 65 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 6 games, Zach Edey has gone over 15.5 PTS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. LAC has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 24th-most PTS of 30 teams (12.5 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 8.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.