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New York JetsBraelon Allen
#0 · RB · 6' 1" · 235 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Wisconsin
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 90.7 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutBraelon Allen isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Allen was limited to 10 touches in Breece Hall's (quadriceps) return from a five-game absence, while Hall turned 18 touches into 87 yards. The 22-year-old Allen excelled during Hall's absence, topping 100 scrimmage yards in each of the previous four games, but Allen will be tough to trust moving forward in fantasy with Hall first in line for touches, especially in the negative game scripts that will likely persist for the 2-7 Jets. Allen's lost fumble was his first of the season, and he has put the ball on the ground only one other time, so at least ball security hasn't been an issue for him heading into a Week 10 home game against the Bills.
Verdict
vs 90.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 56% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency34argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
99.0 RUSH YDS(×0.99 context)
L5 100.8 · L10 90.7 · med 91.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 59.0 · ceil 116.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 106 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 206 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season6 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 90.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 |
Situational splits
Over 90.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%3/3Low
Away0%0/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days60%3/5Low
Next matchup — vs BUF
Nov 15, 2026
20thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
BUF allows 42.5 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 13 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 6 games, Braelon Allen has gone over 90.5 RUSH YDS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. BUF has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 20th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (42.5 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 35.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.