New York Giants

Braxton Berrios Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Oct 26, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Braxton Berrios has gone over 4.5 FS in 1 of his last 2 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Miami
Experience: 10 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 4.9 FS · our line

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OutBraxton Berrios isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Across four regular-season games with the Texans last year, Berrios caught six passes for 37 yards on eight targets. He also recorded 81 kickoff-return yards and 25 punt-return yards. The former Jet and Dolphin may need to find a special-teams role to have a chance to make the G-Men.

Verdict

vs 4.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 55% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral

Projection vs line55neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

5.0 FS

L5 4.9 · L10 4.9 · med 4.9

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 2.5 · ceil 7.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 52 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Last 102 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Last 202 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Season2 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
4.5Current	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2

Last 2 games — FS per game vs. line 4.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 4.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%1/1Low

Away0%0/1Low

Days since last game

3+ days100%1/1Low

Last matchup — vs SF

Oct 26, 2025

10thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

SF allows 10.1 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 59 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 2 games, Braxton Berrios has gone over 4.5 FS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. SF has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 10th-most FS of 32 teams (10.1 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.