
#44 · RB · 5' 11" · 215 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Skattebo reportedly pushed to play Sunday, but Jordan Raanan of ESPN.com reported shortly before inactives were released that Skattebo would not suit up Sunday, and the second-year back was indeed ruled out for Week 9. With fellow running back Tyrone Tracy (hamstring) already sidelined, Devin Singletary will be the top option in the Giants' backfield, Phil Mafah -- also per Raanan -- will "likely be the next man up" and Greg Desrosiers will also be available as needed.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Over 52.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
WSH allows 36.7 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 14 player-games
ToughOver his last 6 games, Cam Skattebo has gone over 52.5 RUSH YDS 5 of 6 decided times (83%) — versus 83% across the full season. WSH has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 26th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (36.7 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 27.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Our model puts the over at 75.5% vs the market's no-vig 50.2%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (52.5 RUSH YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 83%.