New York Giants

Cam Skattebo Rushing TDs

Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Cam Skattebo has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD in 2 of his last 6 decided games (33%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Arizona State
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksRushing TDs · season avg 0.3 RUSH TD · our line

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QuestionableConfirm Cam Skattebo's status before the game.

Injury:: Not Specified Hamstring Not Specified

Skattebo wasn't able to practice this week due to the hamstring injury that he sustained near the end of the Giants' last game in Week 7 at Houston. Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reported Friday morning that Skattebo was trending toward sitting out in Week 9, but Harbaugh's comments run contrary to that. It appears as if Skattebo will be listed as something other than 'out' once the team posts its final practice report of the week Friday afternoon.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RUSH TDRushing TDs

Cool underFireFactor 36/100· model 71% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line71supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup50neutral

Projection

0.3 RUSH TD(×0.91 context)

L5 0.2 · L10 0.3 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 106 games

33%over

2 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 10%–70%

Last 206 games

33%over

2 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 10%–70%

Season6 games

33%over

2 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 10%–70%

Alternate lines — Rushing TDs (RUSH TD)

RUSH TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate RUSH TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	33%	2/6
	0%	0/6
	0%	0/6
	0%	0/6

Last 6 games — RUSH TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 RUSH TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home33%1/3Low

Away33%1/3Low

Days since last game

3+ days20%1/5Low

Next matchup — @ PHI

Nov 8, 2026

19thof 32 in RUSH TD allowed to running backs

PHI allows 0.4 RUSH TD per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 17 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 6 games, Cam Skattebo has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD 2 of 6 decided times (33%) — versus 33% across the full season. PHI has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 19th-most RUSH TD of 32 teams (0.4 per game). His game-to-game RUSH TD have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 33%.