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Buffalo BillsDante Pettis
#11 · WR · 6' 1" · 195 lb · 2 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Washington
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 56.5 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDante Pettis isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
The 2018 second-rounder has played in 66 career games, racking up 92 catches for 1,231 yards and 13 touchdowns. He participated in eight regular-season contests for the Saints in 2025, collecting nine receptions for 127 yards, but he was primarily a special-teams player. The release of Jalen Virgil (undisclosed) enabled Pettis to earn a roster spot for training camp.
Verdict
vs 56.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 52% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line52neutral
Consistency90supports it
Projection
56.7 REC YDS
L5 56.5 · L10 56.5 · med 56.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 54.4 · ceil 58.6
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 52 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 102 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 202 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Season2 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 56.5Current | 50% | 1/2 | |
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 |
Situational splits
Over 56.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days100%1/1Low
Last matchup — @ ATL
Jan 4, 2026
14thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
ATL allows 42.7 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 56 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 2 games, Dante Pettis has gone over 56.5 REC YDS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. ATL has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 14th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (42.7 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 3.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.