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Las Vegas RaidersDareke Young
#81 · WR · 6' 2" · 224 lb · 4 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 3 of these 4 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Lenoir Rhyne
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 18.8 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
QuestionableQuestionableConfirm Dareke Young's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Hamstring Not Specified
Young exited the second half of Sunday's contest due to a hamstring injury. The wide receiver is the fifth option for the Raiders offense, with sixth option Cody White recording two touchdowns Week 2. It is unclear how significant Young's injury is.
Verdict
vs 19.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 4/100· model 44% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line44neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
17.4 REC YDS(×0.92 context)
L5 18.8 · L10 18.8 · med 19.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 7.2 · ceil 30.6
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 54 games
50%over
2 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%Last 104 games
50%over
2 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%Last 204 games
50%over
2 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%Season4 games
50%over
2 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 2/4 | ||
| 50% | 2/4 | ||
| 50% | 2/4 | ||
| 19.5Current | 50% | 2/4 | |
| 50% | 2/4 | ||
| 50% | 2/4 | ||
| 50% | 2/4 |
Situational splits
Over 19.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days67%2/3Low
Next matchup — @ NO
Sep 27, 2026
16thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
NO allows 44.5 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 6 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 4 games, Dareke Young has gone over 19.5 REC YDS 2 of 4 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. NO has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 16th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (44.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 13.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.