Las Vegas Raiders

Dareke Young Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Dareke Young has gone over 2.5 FS in 2 of his last 4 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Lenoir Rhyne
Experience: 6 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 2.6 FS · our line

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QuestionableConfirm Dareke Young's status before the game.

Injury:: Not Specified Hamstring Not Specified

Young exited the second half of Sunday's contest due to a hamstring injury. The wide receiver is the fifth option for the Raiders offense, with sixth option Cody White recording two touchdowns Week 2. It is unclear how significant Young's injury is.

Verdict

vs 2.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 4/100· model 48% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral

Projection vs line48neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

2.4 FS(×0.92 context)

L5 2.6 · L10 2.6 · med 3.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 1.3 · ceil 4.1

Matchup

small sample

Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 54 games

50%over

2 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%

Last 104 games

50%over

2 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%

Last 204 games

50%over

2 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%

Season4 games

50%over

2 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	75%	3/4
	75%	3/4
2.5Current	50%	2/4
	50%	2/4
	25%	1/4
	0%	0/4

Last 4 games — FS per game vs. line 2.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 2.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%1/2Low

Away50%1/2Low

Days since last game

3+ days67%2/3Low

Next matchup — @ NO

Sep 27, 2026

11thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

NO allows 11.4 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 6 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Neutral

The read

Over his last 4 games, Dareke Young has gone over 2.5 FS 2 of 4 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. NO has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 11th-most FS of 32 teams (11.4 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.