Loading…
Tampa Bay BuccaneersEmeka Egbuka
#2 · WR · 6' 1" · 205 lb · 14 games
Stats updated: Jan 3, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Ohio State
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 61.9 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutEmeka Egbuka isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
With Mike Evans and Chris Godwin missing a combined 17 regular-season games to injuries last season, Egbuka was forced into multiple roles as a rookie. Godwin split time between the slot and out wide on his 428 offensive snaps, but he figures to play mostly a slot role in three-wide sets under Robinson, who talked up third-round rookie Ted Hurst (6-foot-4, 206 pounds) as a prototypical X receiver Tuesday. After Egbuka got off to a hot start last season, he suffered a hamstring injury in Week 6 and dealt with the issue for multiple weeks despite not missing a contest. Full health and a dedicated position should help him return to form in his second campaign.
Verdict
vs 59.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 64% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)78supports it
Projection vs line64supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
43.3 REC YDS(×0.90 context)
L5 34.6 · L10 58.4 · med 41.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 30.8 · ceil 91.4
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2014 games
43%over
6 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–67%Season14 games
43%over
6 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–67%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 7/14 | ||
| 50% | 7/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 59.5Current | 43% | 6/14 | |
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 |
Situational splits
Over 59.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%4/6Low
Away25%2/8Low
Days since last game
3+ days38%5/13Low
With a teammate out
How this REC YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Bucky Irving out+21.0 REC YDS when he sits
Without (6g)
73.8 REC YDS
33% over 59.5
With (8g)
52.9 REC YDS
50% over 59.5
Last matchup — @ MIA
Dec 28, 2025
29thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
MIA allows 37.6 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 54 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Emeka Egbuka has gone over 59.5 REC YDS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 43% across the full season. MIA has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 29th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (37.6 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 40.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 43%.