Loading…
New York JetsGarrett Wilson
#5 · WR · 6' 0" · 183 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Ohio State
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 79.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutGarrett Wilson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Concussion Concussion
- Est. return:
- Nov 15, 2026
With Wilson set to miss the contest, the Jets will be without their top wide receiver as he remains in concussion protocol. His absence leaves targets available to Adonai Mitchell and Omar Cooper, who get significant boosts to their respective Week 9 fantasy stocks, while Isaiah Williams figures to handle WR3 duties.
Verdict
vs 80.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 31% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral
Projection vs line31argues against it
Consistency52neutral
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
68.6 REC YDS(×0.88 context)
L5 79.0 · L10 79.0 · med 81.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 57.0 · ceil 104.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 106 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 206 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season6 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 80.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 |
Situational splits
Over 80.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%2/3Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days60%3/5Low
Next matchup — @ KC
Nov 8, 2026
31stof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
KC allows 35.2 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 23 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 6 games, Garrett Wilson has gone over 80.5 REC YDS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. KC has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 31st-most REC YDS of 32 teams (35.2 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 22.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.