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Cleveland BrownsHarold Fannin Jr. Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Harold Fannin Jr. has gone over 12.5 FS in 3 of his last 6 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Bowling Green
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 14.0 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutHarold Fannin Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
With Shedeur Sanders under center for the first time in place of Deshaun Watson (concussion), Fannin did little in regulation as the second-year QB instead looked for rookie wideouts Denzel Boston and KC Concepcion. Sanders went back to a more familiar target in OT, however, connecting with Fannin on a 39-yard TD in the extra frame that saw the tight end flatten a couple defenders with stiff arms on his way to the end zone. Fannin had a slow start to the season, but over the last three weeks he's amassed an 18-287-1 line on 23 targets, giving him plenty of momentum heading into a Week 10 clash with the Texans no matter who is throwing him passes.
Verdict
vs 12.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 50% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral
Projection vs line50neutral
Consistency7argues against it
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
13.0 FS(×0.89 context)
L5 14.7 · L10 14.0 · med 12.4
Consistency
Variable
floor 10.4 · ceil 23.4
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 106 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 206 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season6 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 5/6 | ||
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 12.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 33% | 2/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 |
Situational splits
Over 12.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away50%2/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days60%3/5Low
Next matchup — vs HOU
Nov 15, 2026
27thof 32 in FS allowed to tight ends
HOU allows 5.0 FS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 14 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 6 games, Harold Fannin Jr. has gone over 12.5 FS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. HOU has been a tough matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 27th-most FS of 32 teams (5.0 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 7.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Harold Fannin Jr. research
Harold Fannin Jr. — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Fannin Jr. Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Fannin Jr. Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Fannin Jr. Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.