Arizona Cardinals

Jacoby Brissett Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jacoby Brissett has gone over 15 FS in 4 of his last 8 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: NC State
Experience: 12 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 14.8 FS · PrizePicks line

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OutJacoby Brissett isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Brissett was set to become a free agent this offseason and was demoted from the starting role earlier this week, making him an expendable piece for the Cardinals, who will move forward with Gardner Minshew and Carson Beck as their quarterbacks. Baltimore, meanwhile, had a critical need for an experienced signal-caller after losing Lamar Jackson (thumb) and Tyler Huntley (foot) to injuries that will send both quarterbacks to injured reserve and potentially keep them out for the rest of the season, so Brissett will fill a void. Since the trade won't be made official for a few more days, Brissett won't be available for the Ravens' Thursday night game against the Jaguars. Undrafted rookie Joe Fagnano will direct the Baltimore offense against Jacksonville, but Brissett could step in as the Ravens' new starter beginning with a Week 10 matchup against the Chargers.

Verdict

vs 15 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 62% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral

Projection vs line62supports it

Consistency14argues against it

Projection

12.1 FS(×0.91 context)

L5 13.7 · L10 14.8 · med 15.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 7.7 · ceil 22.0

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 108 games

50%over

4 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%

Last 208 games

50%over

4 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%

Season8 games

50%over

4 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%

Last 8 games — FS per game vs. line 15.0. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 15 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home67%2/3Low

Away40%2/5Low

Days since last game

3+ days43%3/7Low

Next matchup — @ SEA

Nov 8, 2026

31stof 32 in FS allowed to quarterbacks

SEA allows 11.6 FS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 8 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Tough

The read

Over his last 8 games, Jacoby Brissett has gone over 15 FS 4 of 8 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. SEA has been a tough matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 31st-most FS of 32 teams (11.6 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 7.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.