
#14 · WR · 5' 9" · 160 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Nov 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Raymond's most memorable contribution was a 39-yard dash on a third-down play early in the fourth quarter to take the ball down to Seattle's five-yard line and set up a D'Andre Swift touchdown. Though he didn't put up massive numbers, Raymond's 53 total yards were his most since Week 3 and represented more yardage than he had recorded over his previous four games combined. Raymond remains a shaky fantasy play given his recent numbers, and a Week 9 matchup against a Tampa Bay defense that has been pretty stingy on wideouts doesn't improve his outlook.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Over 15.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
TB allows 40.9 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 25 player-games
NeutralOver his last 5 games, Kalif Raymond has gone over 15.5 REC YDS 3 of 5 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. TB has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 21st-most REC YDS of 32 teams (40.9 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 34.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Our model puts the over at 71.7% vs the market's no-vig 50.5%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (15.5 REC YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.