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Chicago BearsKalif Raymond Targets
Stats updated: Nov 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Kalif Raymond has gone over 5.5 TGT in 2 of his last 5 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Holy Cross
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Line
Targets · season avg 5.6 TGT · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutKalif Raymond isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Raymond's most memorable contribution was a 39-yard dash on a third-down play early in the fourth quarter to take the ball down to Seattle's five-yard line and set up a D'Andre Swift touchdown. Though he didn't put up massive numbers, Raymond's 53 total yards were his most since Week 3 and represented more yardage than he had recorded over his previous four games combined. Raymond remains a shaky fantasy play given his recent numbers, and a Week 9 matchup against a Tampa Bay defense that has been pretty stingy on wideouts doesn't improve his outlook.
Verdict
vs 5.5 TGTTargetsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 59% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line59neutral
Consistency36argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
5.2 TGT(×1.00 context)
L5 5.6 · L10 5.6 · med 5.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 3.8 · ceil 7.4
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Alternate lines — Targets (TGT)
TGT over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 5/5 | ||
| 80% | 4/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 5.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 TGT by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days25%1/4Low
Next matchup — vs TB
Nov 9, 2026
17thof 32 in TGT allowed to wide receivers
TB allows 5.5 TGT per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 25 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 5 games, Kalif Raymond has gone over 5.5 TGT 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. TB has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 17th-most TGT of 32 teams (5.5 per game). His game-to-game TGT have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 2.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.
More Kalif Raymond research
Kalif Raymond — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Raymond Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Raymond Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Raymond Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)→
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.