Buffalo Bills

Khalil Shakir Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 17, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Khalil Shakir has gone over 10 FS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Boise State
Experience: 6 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 12.0 FS · PrizePicks line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

PrizePicks payout options — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.

How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins

Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).

Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.

Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.

OutKhalil Shakir isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Shakir played a complementary role once again, and although he did finish tied for second in targets on the Bills, he was only third in receptions and fourth in receiving yards. He's seen Dalton Kincaid take on a much bigger role in the passing game over the first two games of the season, but the wideout is still averaging 6.0 targets over that same span and could be due for a boost in workload if DJ Moore misses any games with the shoulder injury that knocked him out of Thursday's contest late in the second quarter. Shakir will next take aim at the Chargers defense in a Week 3 home matchup on Sunday, Sept. 27.

Verdict

vs 10 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 77% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)87supports it

Projection vs line77supports it

Consistency31argues against it

Projection

13.1 FS(×1.19 context)

L5 12.0 · L10 11.0 · med 10.5

Consistency

Variable

floor 7.7 · ceil 16.5

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Open this line on PrizePicks→

Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.

Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2017 games

65%over

11 over · 6 under

Medium confidence95% CI 41%–83%

Season17 games

65%over

11 over · 6 under

Medium confidence95% CI 41%–83%

Last 17 games — FS per game vs. line 10.0. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 10 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home71%5/7Low

Away60%6/10Low

Days since last game

3+ days63%10/16Medium

Next matchup — vs LAC

Sep 27, 2026

13thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

LAC allows 10.9 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 7 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Khalil Shakir has gone over 10 FS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 65% across the full season. LAC has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 13th-most FS of 32 teams (10.9 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 65%.