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Los Angeles ChargersOronde Gadsden Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Oronde Gadsden has gone over 9.5 FS in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Syracuse
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 9.7 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutOronde Gadsden isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Gadsden was able to lead the team in catches while he finished with one fewer target than team leader Ladd McConkey. The tight end has now reeled in at least three passes for the second straight game and third time over the last four contests after having failed to do so in any of the team's first three regular-season games. Gadsden and the rest of the Chargers will face a tough test in Week 9 against the Texans.
Verdict
vs 9.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 62% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60neutral
Projection vs line62supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup100supports it
Projection
6.7 FS(×0.82 context)
L5 5.9 · L10 6.4 · med 6.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 4.5 · ceil 12.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2014 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Season14 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 9.5Current | 50% | 7/14 | |
| 36% | 5/14 | ||
| 36% | 5/14 | ||
| 14% | 2/14 |
Situational splits
Over 9.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away44%4/9Low
Days since last game
3+ days46%6/13Low
Next matchup — vs HOU
Nov 8, 2026
27thof 32 in FS allowed to tight ends
HOU allows 5.0 FS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 14 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Oronde Gadsden has gone over 9.5 FS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 50% across the full season. HOU has been a tough matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 27th-most FS of 32 teams (5.0 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 7.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Oronde Gadsden research
Oronde Gadsden — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Gadsden Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Gadsden Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Gadsden Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.