Pittsburgh Steelers

Travis Homer Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Travis Homer has gone over 0.5 FS in 1 of his last 2 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Miami
Experience: 9 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 0.7 FS · our line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

OutTravis Homer isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Homer is likely to be elevated again for the Steelers' Week 3 matchup against the Bengals due to the injury to Rico Dowdle (toe). Homer had two carries for 16 yards coupled with 10 special-teams snaps in Sunday's loss to the Patriots. The veteran back should serve as the No. 3 backfield option behind Jaylen Warren and Eli Heidenreich if Dowdle cannot suit up for next Sunday's contest.

Verdict

vs 0.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 57% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral

Projection vs line57neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.7 FS(×0.92 context)

L5 0.7 · L10 0.7 · med 0.7

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.2 · ceil 1.2

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.

Last 52 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Last 102 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Last 202 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Season2 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2

Last 2 games — FS per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away50%1/2Low

Days since last game

3+ days100%1/1Low

Next matchup — vs CIN

Sep 27, 2026

20thof 32 in FS allowed to running backs

CIN allows 9.0 FS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Neutral

The read

Over his last 2 games, Travis Homer has gone over 0.5 FS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. CIN has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 20th-most FS of 32 teams (9.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.