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Jacksonville JaguarsTravis Hunter
#12 · WR · 6' 1" · 185 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Oct 19, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Colorado
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 42.6 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTravis Hunter isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Hunter seems to be progressing well in his recovery from season-ending LCL surgery, and he has mixed into some team drills at practice, playing mostly with the defense at cornerback while occasionally mixing in with the offense at wide receiver. The second overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft said he feels lighter on his feet as a result of the added muscle and that he's hoping to reach 23 miles per hour, which would put him in elite top-speed territory alongside the likes of Tyreek Hill (knee).
Verdict
vs 33.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 39% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line39argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
47.5 REC YDS
L5 42.6 · L10 42.6 · med 33.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 20.6 · ceil 53.8
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 33.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 |
Situational splits
Over 33.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%1/3Low
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%2/4Low
Last matchup — vs LAR
Oct 19, 2025
6thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
LAR allows 48.1 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 64 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 5 games, Travis Hunter has gone over 33.5 REC YDS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. LAR has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 6th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (48.1 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 30.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.