Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Hunter Targets

Stats updated: Oct 19, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Travis Hunter has gone over 7.5 TGT in 2 of his last 5 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Colorado
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksTargets · season avg 8.0 TGT · our line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

OutTravis Hunter isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Hunter seems to be progressing well in his recovery from season-ending LCL surgery, and he has mixed into some team drills at practice, playing mostly with the defense at cornerback while occasionally mixing in with the offense at wide receiver. The second overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft said he feels lighter on his feet as a result of the added muscle and that he's hoping to reach 23 miles per hour, which would put him in elite top-speed territory alongside the likes of Tyreek Hill (knee).

Verdict

vs 7.5 TGTTargets

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 45% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it

Projection vs line45neutral

Consistency34argues against it

Projection

8.5 TGT

L5 8.0 · L10 8.0 · med 7.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 5.8 · ceil 9.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 105 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 205 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Season5 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Alternate lines — Targets (TGT)

TGT over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate TGT line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	5/5
	80%	4/5
	60%	3/5
7.5Current	40%	2/5
	20%	1/5
	20%	1/5
	20%	1/5

Last 5 games — TGT per game vs. line 7.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 7.5 TGT by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home67%2/3Low

Away0%0/2Low

Days since last game

3+ days25%1/4Low

Last matchup — vs LAR

Oct 19, 2025

4thof 32 in TGT allowed to wide receivers

LAR allows 6.1 TGT per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 64 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 5 games, Travis Hunter has gone over 7.5 TGT 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. LAR has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 4th-most TGT of 32 teams (6.1 per game). His game-to-game TGT have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 3.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.