Loading…
Portland FireLuisa Geiselsoder
#15 · C · 6' 4" · 13 games
Stats updated: Aug 16, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 5.6 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutLuisa Geiselsoder isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Personal
- Est. return:
- May 1, 2027
Geiselsoder will represent Germany at the 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup, and since she's been out of the rotation for a while, she's leaving early for preparation and won't return this season. She ends the season with averages of 4.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists across 16.6 minutes per game in 21 appearances (nine starts).
Verdict
vs 5.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 61% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)45neutral
Projection vs line61supports it
Consistency10argues against it
Projection
4.4 PTS(×0.90 context)
L5 5.0 · L10 4.6 · med 4.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 3.4 · ceil 7.2
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2013 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Season13 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 11/13 | ||
| 77% | 10/13 | ||
| 62% | 8/13 | ||
| 5.5Current | 54% | 7/13 | |
| 23% | 3/13 | ||
| 23% | 3/13 | ||
| 15% | 2/13 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home57%4/7Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/2Low
1 day67%2/3Low
2 days100%3/3Low
3+ days25%1/4Low
Last matchup — @ WSH
Jul 16, 2026
15thof 15 in PTS allowed to centers
WSH allows 9.3 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 28 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Luisa Geiselsoder has gone over 5.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 54% across the full season. WSH has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 15th-most PTS of 15 teams (9.3 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 3.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.