Portland Fire

Luisa Geiselsoder Points + Rebounds + Assists

Stats updated: Aug 16, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Luisa Geiselsoder has gone over 10.5 PRA in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksPoints + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 10.5 PRA · our line

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OutLuisa Geiselsoder isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Personal
Est. return:: May 1, 2027

Geiselsoder will represent Germany at the 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup, and since she's been out of the rotation for a while, she's leaving early for preparation and won't return this season. She ends the season with averages of 4.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists across 16.6 minutes per game in 21 appearances (nine starts).

Verdict

vs 10.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + Assists

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 63% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)45neutral

Projection vs line63supports it

Consistency27argues against it

Matchup0argues against it

Projection

8.2 PRA(×0.91 context)

L5 8.6 · L10 8.7 · med 8.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 6.8 · ceil 13.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Last 2013 games

54%over

7 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%

Season13 games

54%over

7 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%

Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)

PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate PRA line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	77%	10/13
	54%	7/13
	54%	7/13
10.5Current	54%	7/13
	38%	5/13
	31%	4/13
	15%	2/13

Last 13 games — PRA per game vs. line 10.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 10.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home57%4/7Low

Away50%3/6Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/2Low

1 day33%1/3Low

2 days100%3/3Low

3+ days50%2/4Low

Next matchup — vs GS

Sep 23, 2026

2ndof 15 in PRA allowed to centers

GS allows 22.8 PRA per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 19 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Luisa Geiselsoder has gone over 10.5 PRA 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 54% across the full season. GS has been a favorable matchup for centers this season, allowing the 2nd-most PRA of 15 teams (22.8 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 4.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

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Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.