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Chicago SkyRickea Jackson
#5 · F · 6' 2" · 175 lb · 3 games
Stats updated: May 17, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Tennessee
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 22.0 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutRickea Jackson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Knee Surgery
- Est. return:
- May 1, 2027
The season-ending knee injury is a devastating development for Jackson and the Sky, as the 25-year-old forward was well on her way to a career-best campaign. Through Chicago's first four games, Jackson averaged 18.0 points, 4.8 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.8 blocks and 1.5 three-pointers in 29.5 minutes per contest. After Jackson's early exit in Sunday's contest, Aicha Coulibaly opened the second half with the starters and looks to be the most likely candidate to move into the top unit for the Sky's next game Wednesday versus the Wings.
Verdict
vs 18.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 76% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)99supports it
Projection vs line76supports it
Consistency62supports it
Projection
22.4 PTS
L5 22.0 · L10 22.0 · med 19.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 18.4 · ceil 25.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 53 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Last 103 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Last 203 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Season3 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 3/3 | ||
| 100% | 3/3 | ||
| 100% | 3/3 | ||
| 18.5Current | 67% | 2/3 | |
| 33% | 1/3 | ||
| 33% | 1/3 | ||
| 33% | 1/3 |
Situational splits
Over 18.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away67%2/3Low
Days since last game
1 day100%1/1Low
3+ days0%0/1Low
Last matchup — @ PHX
May 16, 2026
11thof 15 in PTS allowed to forwards
PHX allows 9.7 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 58 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 3 games, Rickea Jackson has gone over 18.5 PTS 2 of 3 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. PHX has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 11th-most PTS of 15 teams (9.7 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 5.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.