Chicago Sky

Rickea Jackson Rebounds

Stats updated: May 17, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Rickea Jackson has gone over 5.5 REB in 2 of his last 3 decided games (67%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Tennessee
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksRebounds · season avg 6.0 REB · our line

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OutRickea Jackson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Knee Surgery
Est. return:: May 1, 2027

The season-ending knee injury is a devastating development for Jackson and the Sky, as the 25-year-old forward was well on her way to a career-best campaign. Through Chicago's first four games, Jackson averaged 18.0 points, 4.8 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.8 blocks and 1.5 three-pointers in 29.5 minutes per contest. After Jackson's early exit in Sunday's contest, Aicha Coulibaly opened the second half with the starters and looks to be the most likely candidate to move into the top unit for the Sky's next game Wednesday versus the Wings.

Verdict

vs 5.5 REBRebounds

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 57% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)99supports it

Projection vs line57neutral

Consistency77supports it

Projection

6.0 REB

L5 6.0 · L10 6.0 · med 6.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 5.4 · ceil 6.6

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 53 games

67%over

2 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%

Last 103 games

67%over

2 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%

Last 203 games

67%over

2 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%

Season3 games

67%over

2 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%

Alternate lines — Rebounds (REB)

REB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REB line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	3/3
	100%	3/3
	100%	3/3
5.5Current	67%	2/3
	33%	1/3
	0%	0/3
	0%	0/3

Last 3 games — REB per game vs. line 5.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 5.5 REB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away67%2/3Low

Days since last game

1 day100%1/1Low

3+ days0%0/1Low

Last matchup — @ PHX

May 16, 2026

11thof 15 in REB allowed to forwards

PHX allows 4.6 REB per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 58 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 3 games, Rickea Jackson has gone over 5.5 REB 2 of 3 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. PHX has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 11th-most REB of 15 teams (4.6 per game). His game-to-game REB have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.