Philadelphia Eagles

Hollywood Brown Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Hollywood Brown has gone over 5 FS in 8 of his last 9 decided games (89%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Oklahoma
Experience: 9 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 9.7 FS · PrizePicks line

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OutHollywood Brown isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

With both DeVonta Smith (hamstring) and Dontayvion Wicks (ankle) missing the contest, Brown ranked third among Eagles wideouts with 32 offensive snaps. He didn't do much with the opportunity, as the veteran wideout notched just two receptions for the second straight week. If Smith and/or Wicks return in Week 9 against the Giants, Brown may see his role diminish.

Verdict

vs 5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 70% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line70supports it

Consistency11argues against it

Matchup50neutral

Projection

6.4 FS(×0.82 context)

L5 5.9 · L10 9.0 · med 9.1

Consistency

Variable

floor 6.3 · ceil 11.4

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

75%over

3 over · 1 under · 1 push

Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%

Last 1010 games

89%over

8 over · 1 under · 1 push

Medium confidence95% CI 56%–98%

Last 2013 games

92%over

11 over · 1 under · 1 push

Medium confidence95% CI 65%–99%

Season13 games

92%over

11 over · 1 under · 1 push

Medium confidence95% CI 65%–99%

Last 13 games — FS per game vs. line 5.0. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home80%4/5Low

Away100%7/7Medium

Days since last game

3+ days91%10/11Medium

Next matchup — vs NYG

Nov 8, 2026

20thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

NYG allows 9.0 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 23 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Hollywood Brown has gone over 5 FS 8 of 9 decided times (89%) — versus 92% across the full season. NYG has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 20th-most FS of 32 teams (9.0 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 5.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 92%.