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Chicago BearsKyle Monangai
#25 · RB · 5' 8" · 207 lb · 12 games
Stats updated: Jan 18, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Rutgers
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 60.6 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutKyle Monangai isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Per Adam Hoge of AllCHGO.com, head coach Ben Johnson acknowledged earlier Monday that Monangai missed time during the start of training camp last week due to a soft-tissue injury that's believed to be related to his hamstring. Johnson indicated that Monangai's absence would be "on the shorter side," and the second-year running back supported his coach's claim by getting back on the practice field. The Bears could still ease up on Monangai's reps early in camp, but he looks like he'll have a realistic shot at being available for the Aug. 15 preseason opener versus the Browns.
Verdict
vs 43.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 52% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)53neutral
Projection vs line52neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
44.1 RUSH YDS(×0.90 context)
L5 36.8 · L10 61.8 · med 43.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 29.0 · ceil 76.2
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2012 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Season12 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 43.5Current | 50% | 6/12 | |
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 50% | 6/12 |
Situational splits
Over 43.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%3/6Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days55%6/11Low
Last matchup — vs LAR
Jan 18, 2026
25thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
LAR allows 44.4 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 38 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Kyle Monangai has gone over 43.5 RUSH YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. LAR has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 25th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (44.4 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 45.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.