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Chicago BearsKyle Monangai Receiving TDs
Stats updated: Oct 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Kyle Monangai has gone over 0.5 REC TD in 0 of his last 10 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Rutgers
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving TDs · season avg 0.0 REC TD · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
QuestionableQuestionableConfirm Kyle Monangai's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Toe Sprain
Brad Biggs of the Chicago Tribune reported Monangai took part in drills Friday for the first time since suffering a turf toe injury against the Jets on Oct. 4, and the activity was enough to give him a chance to return to action this weekend. The Bears play on Sunday Night Football in Week 9, so there won't be many options to pivot to if Monangai ends up missing a fifth consecutive contest. Even if he's able to suit up, it stands to reason he likely won't handle his normal workload (16.3 touches per game this season), especially with fellow RB D'Andre Swift running on all cylinders at the moment.
Verdict
vs 0.5 REC TDReceiving TDsCold underFireFactor 64/100· model 100% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Matchup75supports it
Projection
0.0 REC TD(×1.03 context)
L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
0%over
0 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–28%Last 2015 games
0%over
0 over · 15 under
High confidence95% CI 0%–20%Season15 games
0%over
0 over · 15 under
High confidence95% CI 0%–20%Alternate lines — Receiving TDs (REC TD)
REC TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 0% | 0/15 | |
| 0% | 0/15 | ||
| 0% | 0/15 | ||
| 0% | 0/15 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 REC TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/9Medium
Away0%0/6Medium
Days since last game
3+ days0%0/14High
With a teammate out
How this REC TD line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
D'Andre Swift out
Without (11g)
0.0 REC TD
0% over 0.5
With (4g)
0.0 REC TD
0% over 0.5
Luther Burden III out
Without (11g)
0.0 REC TD
0% over 0.5
With (4g)
0.0 REC TD
0% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs TB
Nov 9, 2026
21stof 32 in REC TD allowed to running backs
TB allows 0.0 REC TD per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 14 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Kyle Monangai has gone over 0.5 REC TD 0 of 10 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. TB has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 21st-most REC TD of 32 teams (0.0 per game). His game-to-game REC TD have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.
More Kyle Monangai research
Kyle Monangai — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Monangai Carries→
Carries hit rates and trends.
Monangai Rushing TDs→
Rushing TDs hit rates and trends.
Monangai Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Monangai Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.