Kansas City Chiefs

Rashee Rice Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Rashee Rice has gone over 13.5 FS in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: SMU
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 17.7 FS · PrizePicks line

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OutRashee Rice isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Rice is off the injury report Thursday after kicking off Week 9 prep with a limited session Wednesday. The oft-injured wide receiver has been limited to five appearances this season, one of which he left before recording a catch, but he has 20 catches for 243 yards and two touchdowns across the other four games. With Rice getting healthier, he could feast Sunday against a Jets defense that's allowing 30.7 points per game during an active three-game losing streak.

Verdict

vs 13.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 66% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)86supports it

Projection vs line66supports it

Consistency38argues against it

Matchup50neutral

Projection

16.6 FS(×1.00 context)

L5 13.2 · L10 17.1 · med 17.1

Consistency

Variable

floor 12.1 · ceil 23.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

60%over

6 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%

Last 2011 games

64%over

7 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 35%–85%

Season11 games

64%over

7 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 35%–85%

Last 11 games — FS per game vs. line 13.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 13.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%3/6Low

Away80%4/5Low

Days since last game

3+ days60%6/10Low

Next matchup — vs NYJ

Nov 8, 2026

15thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

NYJ allows 10.1 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 21 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Rashee Rice has gone over 13.5 FS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 64% across the full season. NYJ has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 15th-most FS of 32 teams (10.1 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 64%.